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SOCIAL WEATHER REPORT | Pres. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr.’s Net Satisfaction Rating at +27, Up From +20 in March 2024


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SOCIAL WEATHER REPORT | Pres. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr.’s Net Satisfaction Rating at +27, Up From +20 in March 2024
By Social Weather Station
  • 9% expect all or nearly all of PBBM’s promises to be fulfilled, 17% expect most, 48% a few, and 23% almost none or none
  • 8% say the Philippines got very much benefit, 37% much benefit, from PBBM’s foreign visits
  • 22% expect that PBBM will succeed, 18% say he will not succeed, and 60% say it is too early to tell

The national Social Weather Survey of June 23 – July 1, 2024 found 55% of adult Filipinos satisfied, 15% undecided, and 28% dissatisfied with the performance of Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. as President.

Compared to March 2024, gross satisfaction with President Marcos rose from 50%, gross undecided fell from 19%, and gross dissatisfaction fell slightly from 31% [Chart 1, Tables 1 and 2].

The resulting net satisfaction rating is +27 (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied), classified by SWS as moderate[1] (+10 to +29). This is a 7-point increase from the moderate +20 in March 2024, following a decline from the good +47 in December 2023.

9% expect all or nearly all of PBBM’s promises to be fulfilled, 17% expect most, 48% a few, and 23% almost none or none

The June 2024 survey asked, “In your opinion, how many of the promises of Pres. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. can be fulfilled? [Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni Pang. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. ang posibleng matutupad?]”

To this, 9% answered all or nearly all (lahat o halos lahat), 17% most (karamihan), 48% a few (mga ilan), and 23% almost none or none (halos wala o wala) [Chart 2].

The June 2024 percentage of 27% expecting all or most (% all or nearly all and % most, correctly rounded) of Pres. Marcos’ promises to be fulfilled was up by 5 points from 22% (5% all or nearly all, 18% most, correctly round) in March 2024. It was 48% (18% all or nearly all, 30% most) in October 2022.

In past SWS surveys, the percentage of those who expected all or most of Pres. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo’s promises to be fulfilled was 19% (5% all or nearly all, 14% most) in September 2001 and 23% (8% all or nearly all, 15% most) in August 2004. For Pres. Benigno Simeon Aquino III, it was 44% (9% all or nearly all, 35% most) in September 2010 and 63% (22% all or nearly all, 41% most) in June 2016. For Pres. Rodrigo Duterte, it was 56% (15% all or nearly all, 41% most) in September 2016 before it ranged from 35%-67% from March 2017 to June 2022.

8% say the Philippines got very much benefit, 37% much benefit, from PBBM’s foreign visits

The June 2024 survey also asked, “In your opinion, how much benefit does the Philippines get from Pres. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr.’s visits to other countries? [Gaano sa tingin ninyo ang pakinabang ng Pilipinas mula sa mga biyahe ni Pang. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. sa mga ibang bansa?]”

To this, 8% answered very much benefit (napakalaking pakinabang), 37% much benefit (malaking pakinabang), 34% little benefit (maliit na pakinabang), and 17% almost no benefit at all (halos walang pakinabang) [Chart 3].

Compared to October 2022, those who saw very much benefit from Pres. Marcos’ foreign visits fell from 16%, while those who saw much benefit fell slightly from 39%.

SWS first asked about the President’s foreign trips in December 1995, when 8% said the Philippines got very much benefit and 26% much benefit from Pres. Ramos’ foreign visits. In July 2000, 12% saw very much benefit and 31% much benefit from Pres. Estrada’s foreign visits. On Pres. Aquino’s foreign visits, 19% said the country got very much benefit and 47% much benefit from them in November 2010, while 16% said the Philippines got very much benefit and 37% much benefit from them in December 2012.

22% expect that PBBM will succeed, 18% say he will not succeed, and 60% say it is too early to tell

The First Quarter 2024 Social Weather Survey, done on March 21-25, 2024, found that 22% said Pres. Marcos will be a successful President, 18% said he will be unsuccessful, and 60% said it was too early to tell whether he will be a successful or unsuccessful President [Chart 4].

Compared to October 2022, the last time the question was asked, the percentage saying Pres. Marcos will be successful fell by half from 44%. On the other hand, those saying he will be unsuccessful rose by 14 points from 4% and those saying it is too early to tell rose by 8 points from 52%.

In past SWS surveys, the percentage of those saying the President will be successful ranged from 16%-23% for Pres. Estrada from March 2000 to September 2000, 22%-40% for Pres. Aquino from June 2011 to April 2016, and 36%-74% for Pres. Duterte from December 2016 to June 2022.

Higher net satisfaction for PBBM among those expecting all or most of his promises to be fulfilled

Pres. Marcos’ net satisfaction rating was higher among those expecting all or nearly all of his promises to be fulfilled, at excellent +73, and among those expecting most of his promises to be fulfilled, at very good +62, than among those expecting a few (moderate +29) and almost none or none (poor -27) of his promises to be fulfilled [Chart 5].

Compared to March 2024, net satisfaction with Pres. Marcos hardly changed from excellent +70 among those expecting all or nearly all of his promises to be fulfilled. It fell by 14 points from excellent +76 among those expecting most of his promises to be fulfilled. It rose slightly from good +25 among those expecting a few of his promises to be fulfilled, while it eased by 11 points from bad -38 among those expecting almost none or none of his promises to be fulfilled.

Higher net satisfaction for PBBM among those who see much benefit from his foreign visits

The net satisfaction rating of Pres. Marcos was higher among those who see very much benefit from his foreign visits, at very good +62, and among those who see much benefit, at very good +61, than among those who see little benefit (moderate +11) and almost no benefit at all
(poor -27) from them [Chart 6].

Compared to September 2023, the last time the question was asked, Pres. Marco’s net satisfaction rating fell from excellent +84 among those who see very much benefit from his foreign visits, from excellent +73 among those who see much benefit, and from moderate +16 among those who see little benefit (moderate +11). It worsened slightly from poor -23 among those who see almost no benefit at all from his foreign visits.

Higher net satisfaction for PBBM among those who expect him to be successful

Pres. Marcos’ net satisfaction rating was also higher among those who said he will be a successful President, at excellent +70, than among those who said he will be unsuccessful, at bad -36, and among those who said it was too early to tell whether he will be a successful or unsuccessful President, at moderate +18 [Chart 7].

Compared to October 2022, Pres. Marcos’ net satisfaction rating fell from excellent +85 among those who said he will be a successful President, from good +38 among those who said he will be unsuccessful, and from good +46 among those who said it was too early to tell whether he will be a successful or unsuccessful President.

Pres. Marcos’ net satisfaction rating rises in Mindanao and the Visayas

As of June 2024, President Marcos’ net satisfaction rating was highest in Balance Luzon at good +38, followed by Metro Manila at good +30, the Visayas at moderate +26, and Mindanao at neutral +5 [Chart 8].

Compared to March 2024, net satisfaction with Pres. Marcos rose sharply by 24 points from poor -19 in Mindanao and 17 points from neutral +9 in the Visayas. It hardly moved from good +40 in Balance Luzon and good +33 in Metro Manila.

Net satisfaction with Pres. Marcos rises in rural areas

By locale, net satisfaction with President Marcos was higher in rural areas at good +34 than in urban areas at moderate +23 [Chart 9].

Compared to March 2024, President Marcos’ net satisfaction rating rose by 16 points from moderate +18 in rural areas. It hardly moved from moderate +21 in urban areas.

Net satisfaction with Pres. Marcos rises among both men and women

President Marcos’ net satisfaction rating was moderate among both men and women, at +28 and +26, respectively [Chart 10].

Compared to March 2024, net satisfaction with President Marcos rose by 10 points from moderate +16 among women, and 4 points from moderate +24 among men.

Pres. Marcos’ net satisfaction rating rises among 18-24-year-olds and those 55 and above

As of June 2024, the President’s net satisfaction rating was at moderate levels of +29 among the 18-24-year-olds, +18 among the 25-34-year-olds, +20 among the 35-44-year-olds, and +21 among the 45-54-year-olds. It was at good +40 among those 55 years old and above [Chart 11].

Compared to March 2024, net satisfaction with the President rose by 12 points from moderate +28 among those 55 and older, and 10 points from moderate +19 among the 18-24-year-olds. It rose by 8 points from moderate +13 among the 45-54-year-olds and 6 points from moderate +12 among the 25-34-year-olds. It hardly changed from moderate +19 among the 35-44-year-olds.

Net satisfaction with Pres. Marcos rises among non-elementary graduates and junior high school graduates

As of June 2024, President Marcos’ net satisfaction rating was good +32 among those who either had no formal education or some elementary education (non-elementary graduates), moderate +27 among those who either finished elementary or had some high school education (elementary graduates), moderate +29 among those who either finished junior high school, had some vocational schooling, had some senior high school, finished senior high school, completed vocational school, or attended some college (junior high school graduates), and moderate +12 among those who either graduated from college or took post-graduate studies (college graduates) [Chart 12].

Compared to March 2023, the President’s net satisfaction rating rose by 16 points from moderate +16 among non-elementary graduates and 12 points from moderate +17 among junior high school graduates. It fell slightly by 5 points from moderate +17 among college graduates, while it barely moved from moderate +26 among elementary graduates.

Socio-demographic characteristics of respondents

Applying census weights and correctly rounded, 13% of the respondents are from Metro Manila, 45% from Balance Luzon (or Luzon outside Metro Manila), 19% from the Visayas, and 23% from Mindanao [Table 3].

Fifty-nine percent are from urban areas, and 41% are from rural areas.

Male and female respondents have a 1-to-1 ratio and, thus, are alternately sampled.

By age group, 13% are youth (18-24), 20% are intermediate youth (25-34), 19% are middle-aged (35-44), 18% are 45 to 54 years old, and 30% are 55 years old and above.

By education, 11% had at most some elementary education, 29% either finished elementary or had some high school education, 28% either finished junior high school or completed vocational school, 21% attended some college, and 11% either graduated from college or took post-graduate studies.

Survey background

The Second Quarter 2024 Social Weather Survey was conducted from June 23-July 1, 2024, using face-to-face interviews of 1,500 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 600 in Balance Luzon (or Luzon outside Metro Manila), and 300 each in Metro Manila, the Visayas, and Mindanao. Face-to-face is the standard interviewing method for Social Weather Stations; the only exceptions were early in the pandemic when movement restrictions made face-to-face impossible and mobile phone interviews were conducted. Normal face-to-face field operations resumed in November 2020. The sampling error margins are ±2.5% for national percentages, ±4.0% for Balance Luzon, and ±5.7% each for Metro Manila, the Visayas, and Mindanao.

The First Quarter 2024 Social Weather Survey was conducted from March 21-25, 2024, using face-to-face interviews of 1,500 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 600 in Balance Luzon (or Luzon outside Metro Manila), and 300 each in Metro Manila, the Visayas, and Mindanao. The sampling error margins are ±2.5% for national percentages, ±4.0% for Balance Luzon, and ±5.7% each for Metro Manila, the Visayas, and Mindanao.

The area estimates were weighted by the Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 2024 to obtain the national estimates.

The survey items reported here were non-commissioned. They were done on SWS’s own initiative and released as a public service.

The exact phrasing of the survey questions (the source language is Filipino; English translation included) was:

Satisfaction with the President. “Maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa pagganap ng tungkulin ni FERDINAND MARCOS, JR. bilang Presidente ng Pilipinas. Kayo ba ay lubos na nasisiyahan, medyo nasisiyahan, hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi, medyo hindi nasisiyahan, lubos na hindi nasisiyahan, o wala pa kayong narinig o nabasa kahit na kailan tungkol kay FERDINAND MARCOS, JR.? [Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with the performance of FERDINAND MARCOS, JR. as President of the Philippines. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied, or you have not ever heard or read anything about FERDINAND MARCOS, JR.?]”

On the promises of the President. “Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni PANG. FERDINAND MARCOS, JR. ang posibleng matutupad?  (SHOW CARD: Lahat o halos lahat sa mga pangako; Karamihan sa mga pangako; Mga ilan sa mga pangako; Halos wala o wala sa mga pangako) [In your opinion, how many of the promises of PRES. FERDINAND MARCOS, JR. can be fulfilled? (SHOW CARD: All or nearly all of the promises; Most of the promises; A few of the promises; Almost none or none of the promises)]”

Benefits from Pres. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr.’s foreign trips. “Gaano sa tingin ninyo ang pakinabang ng Pilipinas mula sa mga biyahe ni PANG. FERDINAND MARCOS, JR. sa mga ibang bansa?  Nakakakuha po ba tayo ng… (SHOW CARD: Napakalaking pakinabang; Malaking pakinabang; Maliit na pakinabang; Halos walang pakinabang)? [In your opinion, how much benefit does the Philippines get from PRES. FERDINAND MARCOS, JR.’S visits to other countries?  Do we get… (SHOW CARD: Very much benefit; Much benefit; Little benefit; Almost no benefit at all)?]”

On the success of Pres. Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. “Sa kalaunan, si Pangulong Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. po ba sa palagay ninyo ay MAGIGING MATAGUMPAY NA PANGULO, HINDI MAGIGING MATAGUMPAY NA PANGULO, o MASYADO PANG MAAGA PARA MATIYAK ITO? (READ OUT) [In the long run, do you think PRESIDENT FERDINAND MARCOS, JR. will be a SUCCESSFUL or UNSUCCESSFUL President, or do you think it is TOO EARLY TO TELL? (READ OUT)]”

SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Leo S. Laroza.

[1] The SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69, "very good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate"; +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor"; -30 to -49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable". Presidential Net Satisfaction ratings of “good” (+30 to +49) or higher are traditionally termed a “honeymoon.” 


Chart 1

Table 1

Table 2

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Table 3


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